| The experts foresee amoderate rise during this year and a tendency for prices to settle in the short term.
The latest report from the centre for Sociological Investigations ( CIS) about „ Public Opinion and Tax policy“ points to housing as one of the five problems that concern the spanish most. Moreover 66% think that the possiblities of owning a home are slimmer now than 3 years ago. This raises the question as to whether this situation will remain the same or improve over the recently- begun year.
All the financial studies agree on one point: house prices will continue rising. But at much more moderate rate than in previous years. If, at the end of 2005, the figures for house prices showed a rise of 12%, at the end of 2006 the average will be at around 7%.
According to Jose Manuel Galindo, General Secretary of the Assosiacion of Properety developers. In 2-3 years the rise in the house prices will be the equivalent of the rise in the RPI or, at most one point above it. In any case , „the real fall in house prices is a long way off, and will only occur in the hypothetical case of an strong rise in interest rates. And all indications are that this is not happen in the near future.
This is confirmed by the information that during this year it is expected that 750.000 new homes will be built., although the mortgages tend to be for longer periods of time.
The conclusion seems simple: there is a slowing down of the property market , with a deceleration of demand but with a still very long supply. |